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Cognitive Distortions (Gambling)

Systematic errors in thinking about chance and odds that lead people to over-estimate their chances of winning.

Definition

Cognitive distortions in gambling are recurring, faulty patterns of reasoning about randomness, probability, and control that make winning seem more likely or more attainable than it truly is. They form an umbrella that includes the gambler's fallacy (past outcomes affecting future ones), the illusion of control (believing one can influence chance), superstitions and rituals, selective memory (remembering wins, forgetting losses), interpretation biases around near misses, and the belief that a win is 'due'. These distortions share a common root: the human mind is poor at intuiting true randomness and tends to seek patterns, agency, and fairness where none exist. They matter because they can sustain gambling despite mounting losses and are a recognised target in support and therapy, where techniques help people notice and correct the false beliefs. Naming these distortions gives players a vocabulary to catch their own reasoning going wrong.

Worked example

A player who remembers their occasional wins vividly but discounts a long string of losses, and who believes a jackpot is 'overdue', is holding several distortions at once that together justify continuing to play.

Why it matters

Learners gain a framework linking several individual biases. Professionals in education and support use it because correcting distorted cognitions is a core, evidence-informed component of helping people regain perspective.

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